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Braves won't lose two in a row to the lowly Mets especially at home where they are 49-18 in their last 67. It's a high price to pay, but there is some value because the media hype is on Zack Wheeler who has not been that great in the minors. He's got nearly 4 BB/9 which should get him in trouble with the Braves who are 5th in the league in walks. Meanwhile Paul Maholm has not given up an earned run in 3 straight starts against the Mets and has a 1.64 ERA at home this year.. Mets just scoring 1.93 runs per 9 with a .156 average vs. LHP over their last 10 games and have a clear disadvantage from the bullpen where they post a 5.55 ERA on the road compared with the Braves 1.83 ERA at home.
A lot of value here on Ryu who has been flat out dominant. The Yankees never hit well against pitchers they haven't seen before never mind one as dominant as Ryu has been. Phil Hughes has been excellent of late, but his success has always come on the road. At home he has an ERA over 5. Plenty of value here on the Dodgers.
A's have given Yu Darvish more trouble than any other team while Oakland has hit well on the road so I see a ton of value here in this line. Meanwhile Jarrod Parker has been living up to his season from last year posting a 1.69 ERA and a 0.84 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Parker has good success against the Rangers too.
Where to find Freddy?